An experimental study of precautionary bidding
Kocher,M.G. Pahlke,J. Trautmann,S.T.
Kocher,M.G.
Pahlke,J.
Trautmann,S.T.
Abstract
Auctions often involve goods exhibiting a common-knowledge ex-post risk. In such auctions, precautionary bidding predicts that under expected utility, DARA bidders reduce their bids by more than the appropriate risk premium. Because the degree of riskiness of an auctioned good and bidders’ levels of risk aversion are difficult to observe in field settings, we conduct experimental auctions that allow us to identify the precautionary premium directly. We find strong evidence for precautionary bidding. The effect is robust to changes in experimental design features. Our experiment provides the first empirical demonstration of precautionary motives in a strategic setting.
Description
Date
2015-08
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Research Projects
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Journal Issue
Keywords
precautionary bidding, prudence, auction, experiment, C91 - Laboratory, Individual Behavior, D44 - Auctions, D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Citation
Kocher, M G, Pahlke, J & Trautmann, S T 2015, 'An experimental study of precautionary bidding', European Economic Review, vol. 78, pp. 27-38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.04.009