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Effects of a red card on goal-scoring in World Cup football matches

Cervený,J.
; 
van Ours,J.C.
; 
van Tuijl,Martin
Abstract
We examine the effect of the sending-off of a player on the goal-scoring rates in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.
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Date
2018-09
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Tilburg University Research Output Collection
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Keywords
association football, Goal-scoring, Red card, World Cup football matches
Citation
Cervený, J, van Ours, J C & van Tuijl, M 2018, 'Effects of a red card on goal-scoring in World Cup football matches', Empirical Economics, vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 883–903. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1287-5
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14602/71308
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